Author Archives: Jonathan Soroko

About Jonathan Soroko

Revived from the dead, 18-July-2013

Return To The Giant Pool of Money

The Giant Pool of Money is an outstanding radio documentary which explains, in United States Dollar - via Wikimedia Commons

large part, our current economic woes. If we have the chronology right, this episode of This American Life – now rebroadcast as “Return To The Giant Pool of Money” led to NPR’s creation of the blog Planet Money.  

Click here for other economic coverage by This American Life.

Why is this subject relevant at Popular Logistics? Because widespread poverty – or its effects, fear, limits on health care, housing, and food – constitute disasters, whether caused by a hurricane, indusstrial accident or by  failure.

Disaster Accountability Project needs your votes to win $5,000 grant

The Disaster Accountability Project needs your votes – which in this case means just icons

following the link below and then adding a comment (any comment will do – and if you’re so inclined, you can use the mark #poplog so we can see how many Popular Logistics readers participated).Here’s the rest of the information you need, from Ben Smilowitz, the founder of DAP:

I posted a letter on the Disaster Accountability Project’s blog that includes a link to a PDF that you can use to help recruit votes for the Social Media Competition!

Vote Here: http:// tinyurl.com/voteDAP


Blog Post: http://bit.ly/4ptpm2

Thank you!!
Ben

PS: please forward this note to 10 friends and ask them to vote for Disaster Accountability here: http://tinyurl.com/voteDAP

So go tohttp://tinyurl.com/voteDAP – and show your support for the Disaster Accountability Project – the only non-governmental organization holding government,the private sector and nonprofits to account when it comes to disaster services.

Color-Alert system to be reduced – but neither scrapped nor made useful

Spencer S. Hsu writes in the WaPo that

[a] bipartisan task force recommended Tuesday that the Obama administration simplify and reset the U.S. government’s iconic color-coded terrorism warning system to the lowest of three new levels, if it keeps using levels at all.

U.S. Should Simplify Terror Warning System, Panel Says. (Washington Post, September 16th, 2009).

This should make deciding which tie to wear a lot easier; however, it’s not a substitute for a communications system which was silly with six vague messages – and a risk assessment/risk mitigation system which provides much more “security theater” than reasonable preparation for threats.

Homeland Security Advisory System (link to Wikipedia entry)

Homeland Security Advisory System (link to Wikipedia entry)

Bruce Schneier, who coined the term “security theater,” combines earlier comments in this post, Modifying the Color-Coded Threat Alert System, in which he points out that it could have been useful in the context of an otherwise useful system.

We suggest you read Schneier’s entire post, but certainly this passage, which gets to the heart of the matter:

The color-coded threat alerts issued by the Department of Homeland Security are useless today, but may become useful in the future. The U.S. military has a similar system; DEFCON 1-5 corresponds to the five threat alerts levels: Green, Blue, Yellow, Orange, and Red. The difference is that the DEFCON system is tied to particular procedures; military units have specific actions they need to perform every time the DEFCON level goes up or down. The color-alert system, on the other hand, is not tied to any specific actions. People are left to worry, or are given nonsensical instructions to buy plastic sheeting and duct tape. Even local police departments and government organizations largely have no idea what to do when the threat level changes. The threat levels actually do more harm than good, by needlessly creating fear and confusion (which is an objective of terrorists) and anesthetizing people to future alerts and warnings. If the color-alert system became something better defined, so that people know exactly what caused the levels to change, what the change means, and what actions they need to take in the event of a change, then it could be useful. But even then, the real measure of effectiveness is in the implementation. Terrorist attacks are rare, and if the color-threat level changes willy-nilly with no obvious cause or effect, then people will simply stop paying attention. And the threat levels are publicly known, so any terrorist with a lick of sense will simply wait until the threat level goes down.

Modifying the Color-Coded Threat Alert System on Schneier.com

; if you’re looking for calm, thoughtful analysis, Schneier’s the go-to guy.

Federal Diary: Head of Suicide Prevention Program Gets Top Honor Among Those Recognized for Service – washingtonpost.com

Federal Diary: Head of Suicide Prevention Program Gets Top Honor Among Those Recognized for Service – washingtonpost.com.

Janet Kemp, a nurse with over 20 years’ experience with the Department

Janet Kemp of the DVA - photo by Sam Kittner/WashingtonPost

of Veterans Affairs (The Veterans Administration, or “V.A.”, for those of us old enough to remember Watergate or television without cable) set up the Veterans Suicide Prevention Hotline – in July 2007, which is credited with preventing 5,000 suicides.

Kemp said she regretted that the 500 employees working full time on suicide prevention could not share the award with her.

“It’s humbling,” she said. “It doesn’t happen by yourself. Nothing you do in the government you do alone.”

Steve Vogel’s piece in this morning’s Washington Post – Head of Suicide Prevention Program Gets Top Honor Among Those Recognized for Service also covers awards to other federal employees whose work is worth mentioning in this space

The Citizen Services Medal was awarded to Michael German, national team leader at the Department of Housing and Urban Development, who created state and local agency partnerships that are credited with contributing to a 30 percent reduction in long-term homelessness.

Don Burke and Sean P. Dennehy of the Central Intelligence Agency together were awarded the Homeland Security Medal for their work promoting “Intellipedia,” a Wikipedia-like repository of intelligence meant to improve information sharing across the intelligence community.

The Environment Medal went to Allan Comp, a program analyst in the Office of Surface Mining at the Department of Interior, for building a network of volunteers to assist Appalachian coal country communities and to address environmental problems in the West’s hard-rock mining region.

Thanks to the Washington Post

for covering this.

Widespread systemic failures in state child protective services agencies?

Are there widespread systemic failures in state child protective services agencies? We are afraid that the likely answer is “yes.”

We are certain, however, that there is sufficient evidence for this hypothesis to constitute a moral imperative to find out. Our readers are, we think, entitled to some background with respect to our involvement.

In the course of following up on certain aspects of radio communications failures  ((See

September 11th radio communications, revisited

)) in New York City on September 11, 2001 we learned of the book  Radio Silence, FDNY – The Betrayal of New York’s Bravest, by FDNY Battalion Chief John A. Joyce and Bill Bowen. More on the radio issue(s), of course, as we proceed.

But it turns out that Bowen – as these things happen – is working on a new project, having turned his attention to the status of children who are under the care of – more properly the responsibility of – child protective services agencies around the country. He started looking in Oregon, and then (I think the chronology may be off) Arizona, Washington State, and California.

Whether or not Bowen’s project – testing this hypothesis – fits the criteria of “disaster”  is, of course. a fair question. But Bowen plausibly contends a rate of death while in direct or indirect government care at about 1,000 children per year. That it’s spread out across the year and diverse geographically doesn’t change that. And the deaths have a common cause: failures of child protective services agencies which aren’t subject to any effective supervision (and for the most part, are funded about 75% by the federal government).

Please take a look at the 21-minute version of Bill Bown’s “innocence destroyed” on YouTube (in three segments):

Link to Part 1 here;

Nublabs – USB sensor suggests many possibilities

Boston-based NubLabs, mad scientists all ((Of course, we mean that in a nice way.))  (if you don’t believe me, look at their projects page) have developed a USB thermal sensor.This – just in its guise as a thermal sensor – could have outstanding applications in, say, a Sahana installation. ((We’ve just gotten our own Sahana installation up – which can be seen, in its infancy, at http://sahana.popularlogistics.com)).

NuBlogger sensor from NubLabs.org

NuBlogger sensor from NubLabs.org

But, according to Nublabs, “the platform can be easily adapted to any number of sensors.”  So – here are a few straightforward applications for disaster detection and response:

  • Seismic activity
  • presence of particular substances (e.g. chlorine)
  • air quality
  • Wind speed/direction
  • incline (if the PC is on a mobile comms platform, say a barge, knowing incline is a good way to know about capsize risk; on an automated buoy, a good way to know about water communications
  • light – if in an area which is normally illuminated – absence of light can be sign that the power grid  is down.
  • Noise – either by volume or pitch – detection of gunfire/explosions. Sad to say that this seems worth considering. But it may well be.

More on this after we make an attempt to have a word with NubLabs.

ICT4Peace: community radio project in Sri Lanka

From ICT for Peacebuilding (ICT4Peace) – posted by Sanjana Hattotuwa –

In May this year, a colleague and I went to Nissankamallapura, Pollonnaruwa to strengthen online journalism capacities of a group trained in community radio production and had a decent production studio conveniently adjacent to an ICTA Nenasala. This groups was very interested in using the computers and internet access literally next door to their studio to publish and promote their productions on the web.

They called their station Saru Praja Radio and told us they were the first community in Sri Lanka to ask for a FM radio frequency to air their productions across a footprint of 48 villages in the Pollonnaruwa district.

Engaging as an Ashoka News & Knowledge Entrepreneur, this was a great opportunity to work with a rural community of well trained radio journalists, who had pinned all their hopes on a license to broadcast over a terrestrial radio frequency, on how the web could complement their terrestrial broadcasts and importantly, serve even as the primary dissemination model in the event they did not receive clearance to go on air.

The significant and enduring problems of existing community radio initiatives in Sri Lanka are well known and documented. It was very unlikely that Saru Praja Radio would get a license to broadcast, and even if they did, would be allowed to continue if their productions critically interrogated issues such as service delivery by local government, corruption and the rule of law, which the production team were very interested to cover.

The first thing I did was to set up a website for Saru Praja Radio, that ran WordPress on the backend and register it for 3 years. I chose WordPress because it is scaleable, robust and easy to use. Further, the skill-set learned in maintaining the Saru Praja website could be easily transferred and leveraged to support other individual or collective citizen journalism blogs / initiatives in these 48 villages. There was for example significant interest in covering issues related to the psycho-social spill-over effects of the war by individuals in the production team.

Our first day was spent talking not about technology, but what the production team wanted to achieve through Saru Praja Radio. We asked them how many people had access to the web and internet, how many had mobiles, how many had radios with CD players, what level of participation they had from local government and the Police, what kind of information would be most useful to the peoples in these 48 villages, how their production team was constituted, what equipment they had and how they intended to sustain the radio productions. Our intent was to shape our engagement based on socio-political, economic and technological ground realities.

My colleague and I were pleasantly surprised at the speed with which concepts such as citizen journalism, blogging and the differences between the broadcast model and web based journalists were grasped by the production team. On the final day, several members were even setting up their own WordPress accounts to blog in Sinhala, and all were proficient in the use of WordPress as a platform to upload, manage, share and archive their radio productions.

From community radio to Internet radio, mobiles and narrow-casting: New models for enduring needs

WNYC – The Leonard Lopate Show: The Writing on the Wall (September 11, 2009)

Critical interview with John Farmer on the Leonard Lopate Show – on WNYC.

John Farmer, 9/11 Commission senior counsel, explains how the truth of 9/11 was obfuscated by a false version of events that the government presented to Congress, the 9/11 Commission, and the media. Drawing on newly released records, Farmer gives a comprehensive account of the events of that day in The Ground Truth: The Untold Story of an America Under Attack on 9/11.

via WNYC – The Leonard Lopate Show: The Writing on the Wall (September 11, 2009).

Secretary of State Clinton renews US call for Iran to release Americans detained, missing

Secretary of State Clinton renews US call for Iran to release Americans detained, missing

US renews calls on Iran to release Americans

WASHINGTON — Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton is pressing Iran to release Americans who are detained or have gone missing there.

Retired FBI agent Robert Levinson has been missing since March 2007. Three hikers — Joshua Fattal, Shane Bauer and Sarah Shourd — were detained by Iranian authorities on July 31. And an Iranian-American scholar, Kian Tajbakhsh, was arrested last month on charges related to provoking unrest.

Clinton’s statement Saturday comes days after a U.S. graduate student held in Iran returned to Los Angeles.

From Taragana: Breaking News 24/7.

Simple tools for planning

Two thoughts about using “sandtables” – what the military calls improvised models. You can use LEGO to model a neighborhood – and BrickEngraver can help customize particular pieces both via printing and engraving (we’ll get a gallery up shortly).

Ladislav Sutnar - Build the Town - courtesy cooper-hewitt national design museum

Ladislav Sutnar - Build the Town - courtesy cooper-hewitt national design museum

Our earlier post about the Vernaid bandage, part of a show at the Cooper-Hewitt design museum has an image of the Czech artist Ladislav Sutnar’s toy series “Build the Town” – they were originally manufactured in the 1940’s – but it shows that one doesn’t need architectural-quality models to make a three-dimensional sand table of your community suitable for planning and discussion purposes.

See also:

Randy

Sarafan’s simple chalkboard table;

"How to Break a Network"

How to Break a Network –    about the work of Lieutenant Colonel John Graham studying insurgent (and other networks),was published by David Axe in 2007 – it’s no less relevant now:

this morning during presentations at the Association of the U.S. Army show in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, I was jolted out of a depressed stupor when an Army officer slapped a slide up on the projection screen that showed seemingly random points connected by lines: a classic representation of an international terrorist network or insurgent bombmaking cell. “Networks are hard to break,” Lieutenant Colonel John Graham announced. Then he smiled and said he was going to show us how.

Graham is a professor at West Point, where he teaches future officers the very thing he was showing us. The slide, he explained, was in fact a representation of his department: its instructors, students and partners in the Army. ”What I have,” he joked, “is a network at West Point working on networks.”And what have they learned since network studies got serious in the wake of 9/11? That there are three major vulnerabilities in networks:

1) Density nodes: people with many immediate connections, e.g. leaders

2) Centrality nodes: people with fewer immediate connections but who serve as crossroads in many relationships, e.g. financiers

3) Boundary spanners: people with few (maybe just two) connections but who span long gaps between chunks of the network, e.g. liaisons or messengers

Assuming your resources for attacking a network are limited — and in the real world, they always are — who do you hit? Graham asked. Using his own department as an example, he advocated killing just three of the dozens of members. Suprisingly, none were examples of density or centrality, since those were all situated in the meaty middle of the network. The network had enough redundant connections to quickly repair itself after their demise. What Graham wanted to do was hit the network where there were no redundancies, so all of his targets were boundary spanners. By taking out three spanners, Graham showed how you could isolate relatively homogenous chunks of the network, rendering it stupider and less adaptive than before.

Funny thing is, the spanners in Graham’s department’s network were mostly low-ranking members such as cadets. Just goes to show, when attacking networks, the most obvious targets aren’t always the most important.

From David Axe at War is Boring.

Addendum, June 23:

In covering the same conference for Government Computer News, Patience Wait reported in Network science is about more than computer systems

:

Government researchers in fields as diverse as biotechnology, ecosystems and behavioral science are looking for common patterns in the systems they study, to see if they can be applied to the development of robust complex networks, whether for computer systems or organizational structures.

A panel convened at the Association of the United States Army winter symposium yesterday discussed some of the parallels between biological systems, such as the circulatory, respiratory and central nervous systems in fish, the behaviors of proteins in bacteria and the organization of an airline’s flight routes, to show how their behaviors may be mirrored in the performance of networks.

Understanding biological, molecular and economic networks is necessary to design large, complex networks whose behaviors can be predicted in advance, said Jagadeesh Pamulapati, deputy director for laboratory management and assistant Army secretary for acquisition, logistics and technology.

The search centers on finding the answer to, ‘What are the underlying rules in common?’ he said. Can a common language be used to describe all these systems? Is there a mathematical formula to describe their behaviors and relationships?

Jaques Reifman, chief scientist for advanced technology and telemedicine in the Army’s Medical Research and Materiel Command, said that modeling protein interactions inside e. coli and plague bacteria is a form of comparing networks to understand ‘why in two related viruses, sharing more than 50 percent of proteins, one’s more virulent, more deadly, than the other.’

Reifman offered the theory that proteins can be judged for ‘essentiality’ based on how many connections they make with other proteins, and these hub proteins are more likely to be centrally located within the network of interactions.

‘I study fish because it’s the data we can get,’ said Lt. Col. John Graham, assistant professor for behavior sciences and leadership at West Point. Humans are resistant to providing access to their e-mail traffic, for instance, to allow the generation of very large datasets for study. But the understanding of networks is critical, he said, because ‘the bad guys are getting good at network science.’

September 11th radio communications, revisited

We’ve not adequate addressed the questions – the lessons learned, or, more to the point, the lessons not learned, about communications from the 9/11 attacks. For the moment, we’d like to return to the issue of the non-functioning handheld Motorola radios used by FDNY members that day.

They didn’t work – in a number of ways, which we’ll demonstrate in a series of posts, this being the first. Please don’t assume it as proven; we’re confident that the record amply demonstrates that, and we’ll be providing excerpts and links from the record as we proceed.

From Radio Silence: FDNY, by FDNY Battalion Chief John Joyce and Bill Bowen:

There is another point that does not go unnoticed by the firefighters, officers and chiefs of the FDNY in watching that footage. ((Footage taken at or near Ground Zero on the morning of September 11th, 2001.)) At one point, after both planes had struck the World Trade Center you can see Commissioner Von Essen in the lobby of the building. As the Fire Commissioner, he had no command position at a fire scene, and was merely observing what was happening. Those he commands are all over the huge lobby making ready to go up into the towers. A person approaches Fire Commissioner Thomas Von Essen and says to him, “Tommy, there are reports another plane is on the way.”

Commissioner Von Essen can then be seen heading out of the building almost right away and in the remaining footage it is clear Von Essen made his exit. perhaps to the firefighters who already dislike Von Essen this is more significant than to the public. The firefighters, who were no doubt frightened and not sure what was happening made their way up into those towers to save lives and help people. Thomas Von Essen made his way out of the building after hearing a new warning, which the firefighters never heard.

Perhaps unfairly, to those firefighters who saw that footage and virtually all New York firefighters did see that footage, it was just one more item about Von Essen that lowered their opinion of the man.

Radio Silence FDNY (Page 142)

NB: From Motorola.com “The XTS®3500 portable radio is no longer manufactured, however accessories and replacement parts may be available.” From the page XTS® 3500 Digital Portable Radio – Motorola USA. ((Page accessed 3 September, 2009).

BBC: two U.N. peacekeepers kidnapped in Darfur

Two peacekeepers seized in Sudan, according to the BBC.

Two members of the joint UN/African Union (UnAMID) peacekeeping force have been kidnapped in Sudan’s western Darfur region, officials say.

A Unamid spokesman said the pair – a man and a woman – were abducted in the western town of Zalingei.

The victim’s nationalities have not been made public.

* * * *

Spokesman Noureddin Mezni said armed men attacked the Unamid staff residence in Zalingei at 0430 (0130 GMT) and abducted the pair, whom he described as civilians.

Mr Mezni said the abductions were the first of UNAMID members, although there have been a series of kidnappings of aid workers in the region.

He said contact had been made with the captors, but did not give any further details.

Abducting United Nations workers from an official U.N. residence would seem to be a fairly clear challenge to U.N. competence and authority in the region, unless we’re badly misinterpreting the situation.

In such matters, we’d prefer to be wrong.

No Honor Among Profiteers

Nathan Vardi , writing on Forbes.com (and in the print edition dated August 3, 2009) ((NB: the print and on-line versions are not identical)), provides some detail on the current state of military outsourcing, and how, apparently, the relationship between two long-term friends and business partners fell apart when one shut the other out of a multi-million dollar payday.

Fire Fight/The Business of War recounts the formation of investment firm Veritas by Robert McKeon and Thomas Campbell.

In the early 1990’s, McKeon started Veritas Capital; Campbell joined him sometime thereafter.

By 1996, when they had raised $175 million for Veritas’ first private equity fund, McKeon and Campbell had taken an interest in military suppliers. To run their fund they formed a management company, with McKeon holding 62.5% and Campbell 37.5%. After some profitable defense deals they raised another $153 million fund in 2002 and split the general partnership the same way; their biggest backer was Credit Suisse ( CSnewspeople ). For help navigating the defense bureaucracy, Veritas created an advisory board that included retired generals such as Barry R. McCaffrey and Anthony C. Zinni.

Vardi, in describing a 19-year relationship between McKeon and Campbell during which they vacationed together, traveled together, and had a weekly dinner – with no guests – at Harry Cipriani ((New Yorkers, and visitors, of certain social classes will recognize this as the name of a very expensive, high-status restaurant. )) Vardi reports that

They golfed together, went skeet and trap shooting, traveled together for meetings and once shared a hotel room in Mexico. [Emphasis supplied]

That this is worthy of note is in and of itself interesting. First, McKeon and Campbell were, at least some of the time, traveling on other people’s money, which they were entrusted with for investment purposes. Second, it says something about the expectations of CEOs and investment bankers that this would be regarded as a sacrifice. (Lincoln sometimes shared a bed while traveling, even after he was elected president). Third – and more damning – these men and their investors were making millions of dollars providing support services to troops who often didn’t get to sleep in a bed – much less a private hotel room.
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